米国本土でも警戒レベルを上げる 2月26日(水)

Veinteseis de Febrero (Miercoles)
 昨日はおかしな日で、予約が異例の5もあったのに、予約なしのお客さんが少なかったのです。これだけ平日に予約があることは珍しく、こういう日はこれまでの感触からすると混むわけです。しかし天気も良いのに混まなかった。なんとなく自粛ムードに入ってきたのではないかと、そういう意味での警戒レベルです。
 アメリカがどうなろうと、自分のビジネスだけは守る、それがビジネスマンです。株が2日連続で下がり、3日で2千ポイント下げたダウ、401Kを心配する米人は多いはずです。今日始まっている’欧州株も続落、これで3日連続。ダウも昨夜の時点では+130程度でしたが、今はー80です。バウンドする理由が見つからないのでは。

 こんなデータがあります。SARSは収束するのに8カ月かかっている。コロナウィルスはSARS以上と言われ、仮に同じように8カ月で上出来で収束するとしたら12月に発生していますから、7月に収束する計算になります。ということは五輪はキャンセルです、確定です。
 5月のメモリアルデーに日本に行く予定の私、父親の墓参りが2年越で実現していないのに、またもや延期になりそうです。
 ではどこに行くんだ? 第二の故郷、イタリア? その出身地のロンバルディア州が街の一部が閉鎖になっています。従ってイタリアもアウト。
 またスペイン?それかポルトガル? フランスも初の死者が出ました、地続きの欧州は避けるべき。

 東京マラソンの一般参加が中止になりましたが、それよりも危険なのは毎日の通勤電車だそうです。そりゃ、そうでしょう。近すぎです。今やくしゃみは厳禁となっています。抑えることが必須です。

 私は寿司屋で、毎日酢を使っていますから、病気に感染しない?のではないかと思います。これがデータに基づくものではなく、なんとなくそう思っているのです。
 そしてリステリン大好きの私は1日3回です。口内洗浄と殺菌、あのすっきり感がたまりません。アルコールが入っているので、これも菌が死ぬ?のではないかと思っています。
 したがって、消毒液がないとかガタガタ言っている人は、酢を少し薄めて手を浸けること。これで十分なのでは? アルコールのケミカル消毒液よりも天然の酢の方が健康に良いのでは。どうしてニュースでこういうことを言わないのか?

 「トヨタが小馬智行に4億ドルを投資した」と見出しだけ見て、小馬さんって誰だい?と思ったのですが、中国のPonyAiという自動運転の会社でした。これで小馬の企業価値は30億ドルになったそうです。

 そういえばこんな店あったよね、倒産して消えた店たち
Slide 4 of 51: 
  Source: 
  Buzzfeed
 ブロックバスターズ レンタルビデオ
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  Business Insider
 ワーナーブラザーズ ストア
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  Buzzfeed
 ガズーク
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  Source: The
  Guardian
 タワーレコード
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  Source: 
  Buzzfeed
 ミディアプレイ
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  Buzzfeed
 KB Toys
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  Business Insider
 シェーパーイメージ
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  The New York Times
 サーキットシティ
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  Business Insider
 ボーダーズ
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  Source: CBS
  News
 コンプUSA
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  USA Today
 A&P
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  Chicago Tribune
 スポーツオーソリティ
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  Source: Business
  Insider
 ティバナ
まあ、時代の流れですよ。これら半分はアマゾンに負けた?

 燃費の良いSUVリスト
Slide 2 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,250 | 27/31 mpg | $21,295 | USN Overall Score: 6.6/10    The uniquely styled subcompact  2020 Toyota C-HR  is best for those who don’t require an abundance of back seat room and cargo space. That said, it delivers pleasing road manners, agile handling, and a smooth ride over most road surfaces. It comes with many of the latest tech features and safety systems, and is predicted to be a reliable ride. Its passenger cabin is eclectically designed and uses high-quality materials.    On the downside, its sluggish and noisy 144-horsepower 2.0-liter four-cylinder engine leaves a lot to be desired, and the C-HR is one of the few small crossovers not to offer all-wheel drive as an alternative to front drive.   The vehicle’s exterior treatment is updated a bit for 2020, while the vehicle’s 8-inch touch screen infotainment system adds  Android Auto  capability in addition to the previously standard  Apple CarPlay  and Amazon Alexa smartphone interfaces.  Toyota CH-R 27/31mpg
Slide 3 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 27/33 mpg | $22,145 | USN Overall Score: 7.7/10    Coming standard with all-wheel drive, the subcompact  2020 Subaru Crosstrek  is one of the better small crossovers on the market, provided you don’t require a model that’s particularly sporty. Still, this conservative crossover affords a cushiony ride and features a particularly spacious cargo area. Its nicely designed passenger cabin is highlighted by an intuitive-to-operate infotainment system.   The Crosstrek’s 152-horsepower four-cylinder engine needs more horses to overcome its languid acceleration, however, and the suspension could be tuned to provide some needed handling prowess.   Subaru made automatic climate control a standard feature for the 2020 Crosstrek. Also, models equipped with the CVT automatic transmission now come with a stop-start function that shuts down the engine while at idle as a fuel-saving measure. It starts back up when the driver takes his or her foot off the brake pedal.  Subaru Crosstrek 27/33mpg
Slide 4 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 28/32 mpg city/hwy | $20,100 | USN Overall Score: 8.2/10    The  2020 Hyundai Kona  is one of a growing generation of expressively styled small crossovers, and it’s one of the better entries in its class. It’s also among the most affordable. U.S. News ranks it at the No. 2 spot among  subcompact SUVs  . The Kona’s interior has an upscale look and feel with user-friendly technology, though rear seat space and cargo room are lacking. It comes standard with some key driver-assist features, including automatic emergency braking.   Performance wise, the Kona takes the curves tenaciously, while still maintaining a reasonably comfortable ride. The standard engine is a just sufficient 147-horsepower 2.0-liter four-cylinder; a livelier choice is the available 175-horsepower turbo-four.   For 2020 the Kona receives an available adaptive cruise control system, with some trims renamed and reconfigured.  Hyundai Kona 28/32mpg

Slide 5 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 27/33 mpg city/hwy | $24,885 | USN Overall Score: 7.9/10    The compact  2020 Ford Explorer  is fully redesigned and comes wrapped in sleek exterior styling that’s light years removed from the first generation’s boxy truck-like look. U.S. News ranks it mid-pack among  compact crossovers  . Its cabin is adequately roomy in both the front and rear, though the Explorer gets points off for its lackluster interior materials. On the plus side, its available infotainment system is easily operated and the vehicle offers a full range of driver assistance systems.   The Explorer comes standard with a 180-horsepower three-cylinder turbocharged engine that should suffice for most drivers. Those with a need for speed can choose the available 250-horsepower turbo-four engine for added punch. As a bonus, the Explorer is fun to drive, with lively handling, while maintaining an agreeable ride. The eight-speed automatic transmission shifts busily, however.  Ford Escape 27/33mpg
Slide 6 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 28/34 mpg city/hwy | $20,820 | USN Overall Score: 7.4/10    The  2020 Honda HR-V  is a likeable subcompact crossover SUV that belies its small size with enough rear-seat legroom to suit most adult riders and plenty of cargo space. The HR-V handles quickly and precisely, and maintains its composure over all but the most pockmarked road surfaces. Unfortunately, its 1.4-liter four-cylinder engine comes up short in the acceleration department, and its CVT automatic transmission could be more refined in terms of its power delivery.    The HR-V’s infotainment system is a bit of a mess, with confusing menus that add to the distraction of operating it while driving. It’s priced about average in its  class  , though you’ll need to trade up to a higher trim level to obtain added active safety features and connectivity features like Android Auto and Apple CarPlay.    The HR-V sees no major changes for 2020.  Honda HR-V 28/34mpg
Slide 7 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 28/34 mpg city/hwy | $25,050 | USN Overall Score: 8.7/10    The  2020 Honda CR-V  fares much better than its smaller sibling, the  HR-V  , with U.S. News ranking it the No.1 model among  compact SUVs  . There’s a lot to like here, including a spacious and nicely finished five-passenger interior that features enough cargo room to handle even the biggest shopping sprees.    While the CR-V’s previous 184-horsepower four-cylinder engine has been dropped from the lineup for 2020, a smaller 1.5-liter turbocharged four-cylinder exceeds it with 190 horsepower and 179 pound-feet of torque. Its CVT automatic transmission operates more smoothly than most, and the CR-V exhibits well-balanced ride and handling qualities.   The exterior gets some modest tweaks for 2020, and the Honda Sensing suite of high-tech safety systems is now standard across the line.  Honda CR-V 28/34mpg
Slide 8 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,200 | 28/35 mpg city/hwy | $25,950 | USN Overall Score: 8.4/10    U.S. News ranks the  2020 Toyota RAV4  highly among compact crossover SUVs. It’s an ideal ride for small families, singles, and empty nesters alike for its roomy and nicely finished passenger cabin, amenable handling, and its many standard features. These include the Toyota Safety Sense 2.0 suite of advanced driver-assist systems. Though it carries a somewhat steep sticker price in this  class  , it’s predicted to be eminently reliable over time.   The RAV4 comes adequately powered by a 203-horsepower 2.5-liter four-cylinder engine that, unfortunately, becomes loud and feels unrefined when pushed hard. Unlike some other models in its class there is no turbocharged upgrade.   Android Auto, satellite radio, and a built-in Wi-Fi hot spot are added for 2020, as is a new all-wheel drive TRD model with a specially tuned suspension and specific tires for a bit of added off-road prowess.  Toyota RAV4 28/35mpg
Slide 9 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,150 | 33/30 mpg city/hwy | $39,270 | USN Overall Score: 7.4/10    The compact  Lexus NX Hybrid  combines a 2.5-liter four-cylinder engine with no fewer than three electric motors and a self-charging battery pack to channel a decent (though not especially thrilling) 194 horsepower to a CVT automatic transmission. Best of all it does so with class-leading fuel economy. It’s not particularly adept in terms of its handling prowess, however.   The NX Hybrid comes well equipped and features ample interior room with especially comfortable front seats. Unfortunately its infotainment system is both difficult and distracting to operate.    For 2020 the standard Lexus Safety System+ 2.0 batch of driver assist systems now includes lane centering and road sign recognition. That’s in addition to key elements like automatic emergency braking with pedestrian detection, lane departure warning, lane keep assist, and all-speed adaptive cruise control.  Lexus NX Hybrid 33/30mpg
Slide 10 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,100 | 29/37 mpg city/hwy | $32,300 | USN Overall Score: 7.6/10    The distinctively styled subcompact  2020 Lexus UX  gets impressive fuel economy in its standard version without the added cost of a hybrid-drive system. A generous features set includes a long list of accident-avoidance safety features that include forward automatic emergency braking. A blind spot monitor is newly available for 2020. You may get frustrated learning to operate the vehicle’s fussy infotainment system without incurring undue distraction, however.   While the UX delivers a smooth and comfortable ride with precise handling, it’s not as fun to drive as some of its rivals. A lot of that has to do with its lackluster 169-horsepower four-cylinder engine that makes it feel sluggish on the uptake; fortunately its CVT automatic transmission operates smoothly.   The Android Auto interface is included for 2020, joining the Apple CarPlay and Bluetooth connectivity systems.  Lexus UX 29/37mpg
Slide 11 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,100 | 31/36 mpg city/hwy | $18,870 | USN Overall Score: 7.8/10    Yet another funky-looking subcompact crossover SUV, the  2020 Nissan Kicks  is one of the better examples in a burgeoning field. Aside from its impressive fuel economy, its most noteworthy attributes are a generous number of standard features, a spacious cargo area, and its decidedly affordable sticker price.   Among the Kicks few drawbacks, its 122-horsepower 1.6-liter four-cylinder engine fares better in city traffic than it does getting up to highway speeds, and it could stand quicker handling and better braking to keep up with its rivals in terms of drivability. All-wheel drive is not available here, however; though its front-drive setup should suffice for all but those living deep within snow country.   The Kicks receives several driver assist systems as standard equipment for 2020, including automatic emergency braking with pedestrian detection, rear automatic braking, lane departure warning, blind spot warning, rear cross traffic alert, and high beam assist.   Nissan Kicks 31/36mpg
Slide 12 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $1,000 | 36/35 mpg city/hwy | $38,200 | USN Overall Score: 8.1/10    The  2020 Toyota Highlander Hybrid  gets the best fuel economy of any gas or hybrid-powered midsize three-row SUV. It’s fully redesigned for 2020, and adds key features like the Apple CarPlay, Android Auto, and Amazon Alexa interfaces. A host of the latest accident avoidance safety features are also newly standard.   Combined, its four-cylinder engine and dual electric motors send the equivalent of 243 horsepower to the pavement via a CVT automatic transmission. It’s peppy around town, but less so when trying to muster passing speeds on the highway. The suspension is tuned to soak up bumps and highway imperfections nicely.   Its negatives are nitpicks, but not necessarily deal breakers. As with many SUVs in this size class, the rearmost row is short on legroom, and it’s not a particularly crisp-handling vehicle. The sticker price is also rather steep.  Toyota Highlander Hybrid 36/35mpg
Slide 13 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $750 | 41/38 mpg city/hwy | $28,350 | USN Overall Score: 8.4/10    The  2020 Toyota RAV4 Hybrid  is U.S. News’ top-ranked model among  hybrid and electric SUVs  , and was awarded our  2020 Best Hybrid or Electric SUV for the Money  award.    Its fuel economy is inarguably frugal, and the RAV4 hybrid backs it up with lively acceleration. A 2.5-liter four-cylinder engine and two electric motors combine to produce the perky equivalent of 219 horsepower. It rides smoothly over most road surfaces. All-wheel drive is standard.   Like its gasoline-only companion, the RAV4 Hybrid offers a spacious and upscale-looking interior with a generously roomy cargo hold. Android Auto is added to the vehicle’s connectivity features for 2020.  Toyota RAV4 Hybrid 41/38mpg
Slide 14 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $900 | 44/37 mpg city/hwy | $28,255 | USN Overall Score: N/A    Ford brings back the  Escape Hybrid  for 2020 after an eight-year absence, and it gets the best fuel economy in city driving among our list of gas-sipping SUVs. The Escape Hybrid was not ranked as of this writing because it had not yet been evaluated for its crashworthiness. Its critics’ rating, however, is a stalwart 7.9 out of 10.   While the vehicle’s interior is sufficiently spacious and quiet, it could use some better quality materials for a richer look and feel. The infotainment system is intuitive to operate and includes a wide variety of functions.   The Escape Hybrid’s 2.5-liter four-cylinder gas engine is augmented by an electric motor to produce a net 198 horsepower, which is sufficient to get the vehicle up to speed without much fuss. It drives much like the standard-issue Escape, with and modestly playful steering and a pliant ride over most surfaces. A generous list of standard driver assist systems includes Curve Control, which helps safely manage the vehicle’s speed when approaching a curve.  Ford Escape Hybrid 44/37mpg
Slide 15 of 15:   Annual Fuel Cost: $850 | 43/41 mpg city/hwy | $34,350 | USN Overall Score: 7.5/10    The luxury automaker’s smallest gas/electric-powered model, the  2020 Lexus UX Hybrid  gets the best fuel economy among non-plug-in SUVs sold in the U.S. It affords a reasonably roomy cabin, though some interior materials are on the cheap side, and there’s little in the way of cargo space. The UX comes packed with all the requisite bells and whistles, including the Lexus Safety System+ 2.0 aggregate of high-tech safety systems. It includes automatic emergency braking with pedestrian detection, adaptive cruise control, and more.   A four-cylinder gas engine and dual electric motors combine to generate 181 horsepower, which should be enough for most drivers, though it’s less than with some other hybrids. It’s tuned to deliver a well-cushioned ride with reasonably energetic handling abilities. As with some other Lexus models, the UX’s infotainment system can be difficult and distracting to operate, though it does come with most of the latest connectivity features.   The Android Auto smartphone interface is made standard for 2020, with blind spot monitoring newly available.  Lexus UX Hybrid 43/41mpg
ということで見栄えも良く、燃費が良いのはLexusのUXです。欧州ではかなり売れているらしいです。コンパクトなSUVは狭い道に適しています。
普通のUXが$32300なのに対し、ハイブリッドは$34350で、あまり開きがありません。燃費は市街地で全然変わってきますね。

 トヨタは不要不急の国内国外の出張を禁止しました。どこかに行けば感染するからです。これに倣う会社が増えるでしょう。
 先週の日曜日に「今週日本に会議で行きます」と言っていた駐在員も「中止になりました」と言ってきました。
 トヨタの生産ですが、3月2日までは通常通り、その後は未定です。部品の一部が中国から来るので、その在庫が終われば車が作れない状況になります。

 アメリカの感染はどうなっているのか? ロイターの記事によると14人が確認されています。これとは別にクルーズ船の乗員から(隔離中)19人ですから、合計で33人いることになります。

 ただし、昨年の12月から発生して、実際に封鎖などの処置がされたのが1月の末だとすると、約2カ月の間に中国人が世界中を旅しているので、蔓延している可能性は高いわけで、これから出てくるんでしょう。
 日本もそうで、「中国に渡航歴がないのに感染」と良く報道がありますが、それはそういう意味なのだと理解した方が良いのです。これからますます増えるのです。 クルーズ船で陰性、下船して陽性、これが45人もいたわけで、彼らが自宅謹慎しますか? 2週間も部屋に閉じ込められて、開放感で外に出るに決まっていますよ。それが拡散していると思っても不思議ではありません。
 サンフランシスコ市は、感染例がないのに「非常事態宣言」を出して、市民に注意喚起しています。
 欧州は? イタリアからオーストリアに移り、スペインでも確認されています、これから広がります。
 もうジョークですよね、「一帯一路」で経済ではなく、コロナウィルスを広げて世界制覇を狙った中国ですから。

 
 力士もマスクですよ。春場所は大阪です。3月8日から開催ですが、相撲協会は審議中。

Afternoon Isolated Showers
 午後に多少の雨がありますが、気温は高め。それが明日の朝は31度まで下がります。その後の予報は少し改善されて冷え込みはそうでもないようです。

 たった1隻の船が始まり? そしてインバウンドで観光客の拡大に向けた結果がこれ。そして今だに中国便を止めていない。今更止めても手遅れ、しかし中国人は日本にたくさん、居座っている。彼らは国に帰りたくないから日本に居座る。
 そして観光業界は大打撃、土産物、ホテル、バス、タクシー、などなど。倒産したホテル、これからコロナ倒産が続々と起きますよ。
 小売りのデパートや家電の店で採用していた中国語のできる店員は不要なので解雇される。中国人観光に一本足打法で儲けていた会社ほど厳しいかと。
 五輪開催が中止になれば、これを目当てにビジネスを仕込んでいた会社も危ないわけで、日本は一気にマイナス成長になります。
 世界の生産の25%、四分の一が中国なわけで、それがほぼ稼働していないのですから物不足が起きて当然です。
 マスクは依然として日本にもアメリカにもない。私は昨年の初めに買ったものを昨日探したらあったので40枚あります。しかし使わないし、使う必要もない。
 寿司屋は酢でござるよ。酢の殺菌能力は凄いのです。昔は冬場なら太巻き作って2日は常温で平気でした。酢は菌を殺します。
 世間ではアルコール消毒だとか言っていますが、、どうして酢を伝えないのか? そして私はリステリンです。マウスウオッシュはアルコールが入っていて、効果的。私は家にも店にも置いています。朝晩の歯磨き後は必ず、店でもランチ後などにやります。これで菌は死ぬと信じているのですが。通勤は車に私1人なので全く問題なし。
 問題はこれから売り上げをどうするかです。もうワインの爆買いは禁止です。安い品質の良いものしか買わない。在庫を抑えますよ。これから来るであろう不況を想定して進むしかありません。

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